Bacaër, Nicolas

A short history of mathematical population dynamics / Nicolas Bacaër - 1a ed. - New York : Springer, 2011 - viii, 159 p. : il. ; 25 cm - (Statistics for Biology and Health) . - Statistics for biology and health .

Inclou bibliografia i índex.

Eugene Wigner stressed, mathematics has proven unreasonably effective in the physical sciences and their technological applications. The role of mathematics in the biological, medical and social sciences has been much more modest but has recently grown thanks to the simulation capacity offered by modern computers.
This book traces the history of population dynamics---a theoretical subject closely connected to genetics, ecology, epidemiology and demography---where mathematics has brought significant insights. It presents an overview of the genesis of several important themes: exponential growth, from Euler and Malthus to the Chinese one-child policy; the development of stochastic models, from Mendel's laws and the question of extinction of family names to percolation theory for the spread of epidemics, and chaotic populations, where determinism and randomness intertwine.
he reader of this book will see, from a different perspective, the problems that scientists face when governments ask for reliable predictions to help control epidemics (AIDS, SARS, swine flu), manage renewable resources (fishing quotas, spread of genetically modified organisms) or anticipate demographic evolutions such as aging.


Contingut en anglès.

9780857291141


Models matemàtics--Història i crítica
Genètica de poblacions
Previsió demogràfica


DEMOGRAFÍA MATEMÁTICA
MATEMÁTICAS
HISTORIA
ESTADÍSTICA
TEORÍA MALTUSIANA
SELECCIÓN GENÉTICA
HERENCIA
EPIDEMIOLOGÍA
APELLIDO
DINÁMICA DE POBLACIÓN

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